ITC quarterly results Q2 FY 2024 !!! Segment wise performance and Analysts opinion

ITC quarterly results Q2 FY 2024

Consolidated performance of conglomerate ITC during the July-September quarter of 2023-24 (Q2FY24). Here’s the analysis of overall performance of the company in Q2 and its business segment wise review.

ITC quarterly results Q2 FY 2024 – Overall Peformance

  • ITC’s consolidated performance for Q2FY24 was broadly in line with brokerage estimates.
  • The standalone operating profit increased by 3% year-on-year (Y-o-Y), which was half of what the market had anticipated, primarily due to the underperformance of the paperboard business.
  • The cigarette business met expectations, but the non-cigarette FMCG segment lagged behind.

Paperboard Business

  • The major setback to ITC’s overall performance was the sharp drop in the margins of the paperboard business.
  • This segment suffered a 9.5% decline in sales due to muted domestic demand and increased supplies of lower-priced Chinese products in the global market.
  • A significant rise in wood and coal prices, coupled with lower volumes, led to a 50% drop in profit before interest and taxes for this segment.

Cigarette Business

  • Despite a challenging demand environment, the cigarette business saw a 4.5% rise in volumes, resulting in an 8.5% growth in sales.
  • Analysts noted that this volume growth is impressive, considering the weak demand environment in most consumption categories.
  • Stable tax policies and government efforts against illicit trade were identified as factors supporting this growth.

Hotel Business

  • The hotel business witnessed a 21% Y-o-Y increase in revenues, driven by growth in room rates.
  • Occupancies moderated due to fewer wedding dates in the September quarter and planned renovations.
  • Progress in the demerger of hotels was highlighted as per scheduled timelines.

FMCG Business

  • Revenue growth in other FMCG businesses was limited to 8.3% due to subdued demand.
  • Increased competition from local and regional players and commodity price deflation were noted as challenges

Analyst Opinions on ITC quarterly results Q2 FY 2024

  • Most brokerages slightly lowered their earnings estimates due to the weak performance of the paperboards division.
  • JM Financial Research expects ITC’s stock to remain muted in the short term, considering the weaker Q2 performance, but they believe it could re-rate with a more robust capital-allocation strategy.
  • Kotak Research maintains an “add” rating on ITC, forecasting a 9% earnings growth in FY2023-26, led by stable profit growth in the cigarette segment under a stable tax regime.
  • BNP Paribas adjusted its earnings estimates downward for FY24-26 due to the paperboard division’s weaker outlook

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